Clan-Members » the two favorites in a race, in the long run, a

Australian Tyler Wright can still claim her maiden surfing world title next week in France, despite being beaten by main rival Courtney Conlogue in the final of the Cascais Pro.Conlogues victory on Wednesday meant Wrights lead at the top of the title race was narrowed to 5,250 points, however that stretches out to 6,600 once the competitions convoluted system is applied.Surfers drop their worst two results of the year at the end of the season, and given Wright has won four of the eight events, the odds are very much in her favour.If she wins the final in France, she will claim the title before the season-ending Maui event, regardless of where Conlogue finishes. However a number of scenarios could also lead to her claiming the top gong.Wright would also win the title if she reaches the semi-finals and Conlogue fails to take out the event, or if she reached the quarter-finals and the American didnt go beyond the semi-finals.I know I am in a title race, but for me, I know what I can do and what I want to do, Wright said.Wright was narrowly beaten by 0.74 points by the USAs Conlogue in the final in Portugal on Wednesday, falling just short with a ride of 5.93 in the final minutes.The 22-year-old will now head to Landes in south-western France where she has won for the past two years and reached the final in 2012 and 2013.I have never been more psyched on surfing or doing heats and the amount that I am learning, Wright said.I have the same goal going into France - to win every heat and win every final.I am going to take what Ive learned out of this one with dealing with beach breaks and everything like that into France and start it all over again. 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There was a valuable lesson contained within a $411,188.06 payout in Gulfstream Parks Rainbow Pick 6 Jackpot on Aug. 6.The handicapping genius who was the only one to correctly select all six winners made excellent use of a $2,160 bankroll, electing to use 10 of the 11 horses in one of the races.While its hardly unusual for a Pick 6 player to wheel a race (using all of the horses in that race) or include virtually all of the horses, what stood out here was the horse left off the ticket was the favorite in the race.And thats why they call it gambling.By taking a stand against the favorite -- who finished fifth -- that handicapper wound up having the $59.40 winner on that ticket and was ultimately rewarded with a life-changing payoff.While cashing a Pick 6 ticket would be a dream come true for a modest player, anyone can benefit from the wagering strategy and confidence that went into that huge payday at Gulfstream Park.As much as some handicappers like to focus their wagers on favorites so that they can cash a winning ticket more often, these chalk players are actually working against the odds. Even if favorites win 33 percent of the time, that means they lose 67 percent of the time.Its those numbers that illustrate why a handicapper would always be wise to exploit a vulnerable favorite. Youre chasing bigger payoffs, and, yes, about 67 percent of the time it makes sense to bet against the chalk.While a handicapper should always strive to pick winners, sometimes it can work out just as well when you find a race where you do not like the favorite. By spreading your wagers a little more than usual in that race, you just might cash a ticket that puts you in the black for the rest of the day.And if youre worried that the horse everyone but you seems to like will beat you, remember, about 67 percent of the time that horse will lose. So go ahead, take a chance.In case you have forgotten already, thats why they call it gambling.To help in understanding when it makes sense to latch on to a favorite or avoid it like a cold, lets take a look at whats happening at the Graveyard of Favorites, Saratoga Race Course -- which is actually embracing the chalk in a manner more befitting Aqueducts inner-track meet.From July 22 through Aug. 12, there have been 187 races at the Spa -- not including steeplechase events. In those races, the betting favorite has prevailed in 72 of them, which amounts to a very respectable rate of 38.5 percent.With so many favorites crossing the finish line first, it would seem like nirvana for chalk players. But if they tried to stretch their luck into the exotics, they are no doubt struggling.While betting the two favorites in an exaacta might seem quite sensible while youre analyzing past performances, in reality betting on the two favorites in a race, in the long run, accounts for low payoffs and a low winning percentage.ddddddddddddAs much as the second choice has indeed wound up second behind the favorite more often than any other option in the wagering, your chances of cashing on the chalk running 1-2 are less than you might think.Of those 72 wins by favorites at Saratoga, on 25 occasions the second choice finished second. That might sound good in theory, but it averages out to a chalk exacta happening 13.7 percent of the time -- which is a rather low mark considering that 11 of those exactas paid $